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Tolerance Interval

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QXL Stat Tools Tab > Analysis Tools > Tolerance Interval

A tolerance interval is a range, calculated from a sample, that captures at least a specified proportion of the entire population with a stated level of confidence. For example, a 95%/95% two-sided tolerance interval means: "we are 95% confident that at least 95% of all future values from this population will fall within these bounds."

This is different from a confidence interval. A confidence interval brackets a single population parameter (such as the mean); a tolerance interval brackets a proportion of the individual values in the population. Tolerance intervals are wider, because they must account for both the spread of the population and the uncertainty in estimating it from a sample.

Quantum XL produces both a normal tolerance interval (assuming the data follow a normal distribution) and a nonparametric tolerance interval (making no distributional assumption), together with a normality diagnostic.

Quick Start

New to this tool? Start with the Quick Start example to build your first tolerance interval in a couple of minutes.

Output

Quantum XL calculates the tolerance interval and produces a statistics table and two charts.

Statistics Table

The table is organized into labeled sections:

Section Row Description
Statistics N Sample size.
Mean Sample mean.
Std Dev Sample standard deviation (n − 1 denominator).
Normal Bounds Lower Lower bound of the normal tolerance interval (omitted for one-sided upper).
Upper Upper bound of the normal tolerance interval (omitted for one-sided lower).
Nonparametric Bounds Lower Lower bound of the nonparametric tolerance interval (omitted for one-sided upper).
Upper Upper bound of the nonparametric tolerance interval (omitted for one-sided lower).
Attained Confidence The confidence level actually achieved by the nonparametric interval (see note below).
Goodness of Fit AD statistic Anderson-Darling test statistic for normality.
AD p-value p-value for the Anderson-Darling test. A p-value greater than 0.05 is generally consistent with normality.

Attained Confidence (Nonparametric)

Because nonparametric bounds must be actual observed data values, the interval usually cannot reach the exact requested confidence at a given sample size. The Attained Confidence is the confidence level the returned nonparametric interval actually achieves. It will often be close to, but not exactly equal to, the requested confidence level, especially for small samples.

Normal Probability Plot

The first chart is a normal probability plot of the data. Points that fall close to the reference line indicate that a normal distribution is a reasonable model. Significant departures from the line suggest non-normality, in which case the nonparametric interval may be more appropriate.

Tolerance Interval Line Plot

The second chart compares the Normal and Nonparametric tolerance intervals side by side as horizontal line segments. The mean is shown as a center marker. This visual comparison makes it easy to see whether the two methods agree and how wide each interval is relative to the data spread.

Methods

Quantum XL computes the interval two ways and reports both:

  • Normal Method assumes the data come from a normal distribution. Bounds have the form \(\bar{x} \pm k s\), where the tolerance factor \(k\) is computed exactly.
  • Nonparametric Method makes no assumption about the shape of the distribution. Bounds are order statistics (sorted data values) chosen so the interval attains the requested confidence.

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